Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.545700 1.763503 2.000894 2.278845 2.595395 2.944732 3.359596
2025-01-26 1.268038 1.578587 1.947196 2.417011 3.000143 3.700562 4.606565
2025-02-02 1.123696 1.485632 1.941239 2.556947 3.367873 4.400463 5.817238
2025-02-09 1.010131 1.403068 1.922132 2.658122 3.675823 5.035286 6.993019
2025-02-16 0.904570 1.311472 1.871953 2.700534 3.895731 5.560072 8.059715
2025-02-23 0.793469 1.195442 1.770286 2.652485 3.974144 5.884428 8.863567
2025-03-02 0.709901 1.107754 1.696535 2.631547 4.081666 6.250184 9.750509
2025-03-09 0.647842 1.044314 1.649950 2.642665 4.232411 6.685814 10.774272
2025-03-16 0.594668 0.988215 1.607494 2.653105 4.378555 7.121071 11.829798
2025-03-23 0.551479 0.943133 1.576927 2.677397 4.545501 7.598498 12.990034
2025-03-30 0.498236 0.875620 1.502764 2.620986 4.570916 7.842884 13.777722
2025-04-06 0.451821 0.814961 1.433922 2.565868 4.590966 8.075709 14.559817
2025-04-13 0.405610 0.750969 1.354796 2.487530 4.566885 8.236636 15.242276
2025-04-20 0.399591 0.758878 1.402815 2.641100 4.971909 9.187961 17.439911
2025-04-27 0.393360 0.765528 1.448625 2.793882 5.387789 10.192072 19.823697
2025-05-04 0.381503 0.760168 1.471336 2.904436 5.732692 11.091945 22.087793
2025-05-11 0.362426 0.738812 1.461574 2.950776 5.956554 11.779274 23.996541
2025-05-18 0.333553 0.695150 1.404620 2.898276 5.979439 12.077215 25.152336
2025-05-25 0.310675 0.661507 1.364375 2.875398 6.058966 12.491483 26.577924
2025-06-01 0.293456 0.637978 1.342323 2.887546 6.210602 13.061431 28.373583
2025-06-08 0.277559 0.615766 1.320972 2.898954 6.360890 13.639267 30.233983
2025-06-15 0.264275 0.597994 1.307350 2.925496 6.545344 14.302515 32.335472
2025-06-22 0.244421 0.563846 1.255686 2.863859 6.530464 14.535820 33.501884